Skip to main content

The Shades of Shadow Banking

The Shades of Shadow Banking

Shadow banking has been growing in size in both advanced economies as well as developing economies. One estimate by the Financial Stability Board (2013) states that in the year 2012, the size of global shadow banking was of the order of USD 71 trillion and accounted for about 25 percent of total financial assets and about 50 percent of total banking system assets. In GDP terms, global shadow banking accounted for about 117 percent of the GDP of the jurisdictions surveyed in 2012. Some researchers have argued that in the light of recent global financial crisis there is stricter need for monitoring and regulating the activities of shadow banking.

In the context of growing economies, it is argued that shadow banking plays a useful role in smoothening credit delivery through financial inclusion as they can facilitate access to credit for the excluded. They are believed to play a complementary role for the organized banking systems. However, concerns are raised in the light of the stricter implementation of new capital and liquidity requirements under Basel III proposals that some of the private sector banking corporations would push some of their activities out of their banking domain into the shadow banking activities in order to escape from the capital requirements. In addition, there has been a latent public perception that shadow-banking activities aid and abet the Ponzi schemes, which always lead to scams causing a heavy toll on the financial health and savings behaviour in the economy. Though there may be certain stark differences in the way the shadow banking institutions operate as compared to banks, in the very nature of shadow banking, sometimes, there is only a thin line separating the two.

One of the severe challenges for the regulators is of determining the scale and size of shadow banking operations as this landscape is continually evolving in different dimensions by exploiting the arbitrage gaps in the regulatory framework which otherwise seeks to control them. Furthermore, unlike the banking sector, which have a very good statistical coverage, consistent database on shadow banking is not available given the heterogeneous nature of shadow banking entities, instruments and activities. Since there is considerable opaqueness in the structure, size, operations and inter-linkages of shadow banking with commercial banks and other structures of the financial system, it might misrepresent the information content of monetary policy pointers and thereby weaken the conduct of monetary policy. There is also a view that shadow banking activities cause procyclicality, as their leverage multiples during the boom periods and suddenly deleverage to contract significantly during recessions.

Nevertheless, we are yet to find satisfactory answers for the questions such as: (i) Is shadow banking required for an economy? If yes, at what level and what size? (ii) Why is it difficult to bring it under rigorous supervision? What measures are needed for effective supervision? (iii) Is it contributing for financial instability in the financial system? (iv) Do they really support the banking system? (v) When financial inclusion through banking is advocated the world over where is the need for shadow banking? (vi) Does shadow banking really contributes for economic growth through financial intermediation? If yes, at what cost? (vii) Are the activities of shadow banking transparent enough for easier supervision and regulation? and (viii) Is it an efficient mode of financial intermediation for a growing financial system?   


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

My Quick Take on the RBI Monetary Policy Announcement

  My Quick Take on the RBI Monetary Policy Announcement Overall, I believe the RBI's decision to maintain the repo rate at 6.5% and raise the GDP growth forecast for FY23-24 to 7% is a positive and prudent move. Here are my perspectives on the key aspects:   1. Pause in the rate hike cycle: Anticipate a protracted pause in the short-term key lending rate due to the increasing GDP growth and controllable inflation. This will provide much-needed relief to businesses and individuals struggling with high borrowing costs.   2. Stable economic growth: India's GDP growth of 7.6% in Q2 FY23-24 demonstrates a resilient and vigorous economic revival. The RBI's updated projection of a 7% expansion for the whole fiscal year further reinforces this optimistic perspective.   3. Inflation remains a concern: While the recent decline in inflation to a four-month low is encouraging, continued vigilance is necessary. The RBI's focus on withdrawal of accommodation w...

The Dynamics of Finance-Growth Nexus in Advanced Economies

This study investigates the relationship between finance and economic growth in advanced economies as these countries experience significantly higher levels of financial development. Using a fully balanced panel of 31 years from 1983 to 2013 for 24 economies, we provide new evidence on the finance-growth relationship. We evidence the presence of nonlinearity as there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between finance and growth in the long run. The results show that there exists a threshold effect of the finance-growth relationship estimated at 142 percent of GDP. We find that surpassing the threshold would cost the countries instead of furthering economic growth as too much finance is harmful. Based on the panel Granger causality test results, we argue that financial development should be associated with optimal growth performance. Our findings for the advanced economies provide useful inferences to the emerging and developing economies in designing their financial dev...

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Coordination during the Fiscal Dominance Regimes

Key points • This study empirically examines the interaction between monetary and fiscal policy by using Vector Auto Regressions (VAR) and a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and explores the need for coordination. • The Stackelberg interaction model with government leadership to know the strategic interaction between monetary and fiscal policy is analyzed. • The findings show that an unexpected increase in the monetary policy effect: (i) has a contractionary impact on the economic growth; (ii) leads to a gradual decline in the inflation; (iii) tightens the liquidity conditions; and (iv) rise in the bond yields. On the other hand, an unexpected increase in the fiscal policy effect: (i) has a positive effect on GDP growth; (ii) has an initial decline, but a gradual rise in the inflation levels; and (iii) leads to falling bond yields. • Monetary policy is found to be more responsive to fiscal policy effects. The results imply that there is a greater need for effective coordinat...